Asia’s Crypto Markets on Edge: BTC’s Steady $90K Hold Amid Fed Policy Shifts

By: crypto insight|2025/12/09 17:30:13
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Key Takeaways

  • Bitcoin’s price stability around $90,000 is a result of reduced year-end liquidity and current Federal Reserve monetary policies.
  • A shallow easing path is anticipated from the Federal Reserve, with significant attention on policy guidance.
  • Divergent central bank policies worldwide create a volatile market landscape with potential for unexpected price shifts.
  • Gracie Lin notes that the market reset following leveraged position clearances has structured a more stable trading environment.

WEEX Crypto News, 2025-12-09 09:28:59

In the ever-fluctuating world of cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin has been maintaining a price stability around $90,000 recently. This steadiness comes as the market faces a significant tightening in liquidity, largely attributed to the year-end financial cycle and widespread anticipation of changes in the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policies. Such a backdrop has brought both heightened volatility and range-bound trading into sharper focus, underscoring the intricate dynamics between fiscal policies and digital currencies.

Current Market Dynamics: The Liquidity Crunch and Bitcoin’s Position

Bitcoin’s persistent trading around the $90,000 mark offers a window into the broader challenges facing cryptocurrency markets at the moment. Limited liquidity, a characteristic feature for this time of the year, has accentuated price swings, contributing to both sharp fluctuations and the currency’s eventual return to stability. These market traits reveal the pressure on traders as they attempt to navigate a landscape overshadowed by impending shifts in interest rates and global economic cues.

Central to understanding this dynamic is the expectation that the Federal Reserve will ease its monetary policy path, albeit gently. Investors and traders have largely priced in a modest 25 basis points cut in interest rates, and the market buzz reflects a cautious mood towards a possible pause in January. This cautious outlook aligns with the views of platforms like Polymarket, where predictions favor a slowdown in rate changes rather than a rapid series of cuts. This expected approach by the Fed implies that future shocks are more likely to arise from variations in communicated guidance rather than rate changes themselves.

Adding to this, an important piece of insight comes from QCP, which recently observed a diminished participation in perpetual contracts related to Bitcoin and Ethereum — a reflection of the market’s weakened capability to absorb directional trades. When the players in these leveraged positions dwindle, the crypto market’s susceptibility to rapid price movements increases, highlighting the need for vigilant observation of upcoming policy guidance by traders.

Navigating Divergent Central Bank Policies

Beyond the Fed, the complexities of global central banking systems have become an influential force impacting the crypto markets. A notable theme emerging is the policy divergence among these major financial institutions. For instance, the Bank of England displays internal disagreements, the European Central Bank remains steadfast with its current rates, and the Bank of Japan indicates potential tightening measures — approaches reminiscent of pre-2008 financial crisis levels.

Such differing stances among central banks suggest a growing friction in the global economic landscape, particularly across key Asian economies. These trends contribute to an intricately mixed bag of macroeconomic signals that cryptocurrency traders must sift through, adding layers of complexity to investment decisions and market reactions.

Gracie Lin, CEO of OKX Singapore, noted in a discussion with CoinDesk that the clearing of speculative, highly leveraged positions recently has positively adjusted the market structure. By eliminating overcrowded trades, this reset has fostered an environment where pricing has the ability to shift without being impeded by compelled or forced flows. This move presents an arguably cleaner slate, allowing Bitcoin to attempt upward pushes closer to $91,000 as global capital flows realign in response to these macroeconomic developments.

Bitcoin Market Movements and Related Assets

As of late, Bitcoin has experienced minor slippages toward the $90,000 mark, which can be attributed to several intertwined factors such as rising long-term bond yields and the retreat of equity markets. Such conditions typically put pressure on risk-laden assets like cryptocurrencies, resulting in Bitcoin’s restrained yet persistent performance within a narrow price range.

Ethereum, meanwhile, continues to display a resilient trajectory relative to Bitcoin by slightly outperforming in certain aspects. This juxtaposition not only showcases cryptos’ market interrelations but also highlights Ethereum’s momentary strength in holding its position against Bitcoin, especially evident when it climbed to its optimal exchange rate value in over a month.

Gold, another asset closely correlated with Bitcoin during times of market flux, has seen a slight dip. This subtle decline reflects the cautious demeanor of traders as they brace for the Federal Reserve’s pending policy directions. Here, market participants are seeking anticipated guidance from Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, which could impact future financial forecasts and strategies.

Within the context of equities, the Asia-Pacific stock indexes, such as the Nikkei 225, have mirrored Wall Street’s jitters, capturing the collective breath-holding amongst investors awaiting the Fed’s unfolding strategies.

Extended Insights and Global Sectoral Effects

Beyond Bitcoin and the crypto-specific realm, there are broader economic revelations to consider. Notably, 40% of Canadian crypto users have been flagged by their tax authorities, intensifying concerns around regulatory compliance. This development aligns with a global narrative of tightening oversight and scrutiny on digital financial assets.

On a different note, regulatory complexities continue to emerge. A recent CFTC pilot initiative opens doors for digital assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum to serve as collateralized instruments — an acknowledgment of the growing significance of these currencies in the broader financial ecosystem. This pioneering step reflects the changing landscape where traditional financial products and digital currencies converge, advocating for an evolving view towards crypto collateralization within established financial practices.

Moreover, the political influence on the crypto space is palpable, underscored by recent announcements from figures like U.S. President Joe Biden regarding SEC investigations. These high-level engagements illustrate the intricate dance of regulation, finance, and politics in shaping the pathways of cryptocurrency proliferation and its acceptance.

The Road Ahead: Strategic Interpretations

From a broader perspective, the strategic foresight in the crypto market hinges closely on interpreting the Federal Reserve’s intentions and the diverse policy landscapes shaped by international central banks. The harmony, or lack thereof, in these approaches significantly influences investor sentiment and market momentum.

Given the current scenario where Bitcoin remains tethered near its present valuation, market participants are urged to stay attuned to not just the headline Federal rate cuts, but also the underlying policy narratives, implied through Fed guidance. These narratives are likely to steer future movements more profoundly than any singular numeric policy adjustment.

This careful parsing of economic signals plays out against a restructured market environment where traders, with recalibrated positions free from leverage-induced biases, may rediscover dynamism in their trading strategies. The ability for prices to move unencumbered by speculative weight suggests a landscape ripe for opportunistic entries and exits, afforded by newfound market fluidity.

Furthermore, this shifting environment underscores the relevance of developing comprehensive strategies that span beyond immediate crypto dealings, venturing into grasps of wider economic frameworks and cross-sectoral linkages. Such a holistic approach fosters robust risk management practices, allowing institutions, individual traders, and regulators alike to navigate complexities with foresight, prudence, and agility.

FAQs

What is affecting Bitcoin’s current stability at $90,000?

Bitcoin’s price stability around $90,000 is influenced by reduced liquidity due to year-end financial cycles and anticipations regarding Federal Reserve policies. The market is sensitive to shifts in central bank policies, which guide investor expectations and contribute to stable-range trading conditions.

How does the Federal Reserve’s anticipated policy impact cryptocurrency trading?

The Federal Reserve’s potential easing path, expected to be gradual, diverts market focus toward future policy guidance instead of actual rate cuts. This focus impacts trading by associating market moves more with anticipation and interpretation of guidance, rather than immediate rate changes.

Why are central bank policies significant for the global crypto market?

Central bank policies from institutions like the Fed, BOE, ECB, and BOJ influence macroeconomic stability and trading behaviors across markets. Divergent policy stances create volatility as traders adjust to varied monetary signals and anticipate future rates and guidance, impacting risk asset valuations including cryptocurrencies.

How has the clearing of leveraged positions influenced the crypto market?

The recent clearing of leveraged positions improved market structure by reducing crowded trades, enabling prices to move without forced interventions. This reset offers a more stable trading environment, where market movements are determined by genuine market supply and demand rather than speculative pressures.

What are the implications of new regulatory measures on cryptocurrencies?

New regulatory measures, such as Canada’s crypto tax scrutiny and the CFTC’s digital assets pilot, underscore growing oversight and the integration of cryptocurrencies into formal financial systems. These regulatory frameworks impact how digital assets are utilized, collateralized, and viewed globally, influencing market trust and development.

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China's Central Bank and Eight Other Departments' Latest Regulatory Focus: Key Attention to RWA Tokenized Asset Risk


Foreword: Today, the People's Bank of China's website published the "Notice of the People's Bank of China, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration for Market Regulation, China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, China Securities Regulatory Commission, State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Further Preventing and Dealing with Risks Related to Virtual Currency and Others (Yinfa [2026] No. 42)", the latest regulatory requirements from the eight departments including the central bank, which are basically consistent with the regulatory requirements of recent years. The main focus of the regulation is on speculative activities such as virtual currency trading, exchanges, ICOs, overseas platform services, and this time, regulatory oversight of RWA has been added, explicitly prohibiting RWA tokenization, stablecoins (especially those pegged to the RMB). The following is the full text:


To the people's governments of all provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities directly under the Central Government, the Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps:


  Recently, there have been speculative activities related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets (RWA) tokenization, disrupting the economic and financial order and jeopardizing the property security of the people. In order to further prevent and address the risks related to virtual currency and Real-World Assets tokenization, effectively safeguard national security and social stability, in accordance with the "Law of the People's Republic of China on the People's Bank of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Commercial Banks," "Securities Law of the People's Republic of China," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Securities Investment Funds," "Law of the People's Republic of China on Futures and Derivatives," "Cybersecurity Law of the People's Republic of China," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on the Administration of Renminbi," "Regulations on Prevention and Disposal of Illegal Fundraising," "Regulations of the People's Republic of China on Foreign Exchange Administration," "Telecommunications Regulations of the People's Republic of China," and other provisions, after reaching consensus with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, and with the approval of the State Council, the relevant matters are notified as follows:


  I. Clarify the essential attributes of virtual currency, Real-World Assets tokenization, and related business activities


  (I) Virtual currency does not possess the legal status equivalent to fiat currency. Virtual currencies such as Bitcoin, Ether, Tether, etc., have the main characteristics of being issued by non-monetary authorities, using encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technology, existing in digital form, etc. They do not have legal tender status, should not and cannot be circulated and used as currency in the market.


  The business activities related to virtual currency are classified as illegal financial activities. The exchange of fiat currency and virtual currency within the territory, exchange of virtual currencies, acting as a central counterparty in buying and selling virtual currencies, providing information intermediary and pricing services for virtual currency transactions, token issuance financing, and trading of virtual currency-related financial products, etc., fall under illegal financial activities, such as suspected illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public issuance of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, etc., are strictly prohibited across the board and resolutely banned in accordance with the law. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to provide virtual currency-related services to domestic entities in any form.


  A stablecoin pegged to a fiat currency indirectly fulfills some functions of the fiat currency in circulation. Without the consent of relevant authorities in accordance with the law and regulations, any domestic or foreign entity or individual is not allowed to issue a RMB-pegged stablecoin overseas.


(II)Tokenization of Real-World Assets refers to the use of encryption technology and distributed ledger or similar technologies to transform ownership rights, income rights, etc., of assets into tokens (tokens) or other interests or bond certificates with token (token) characteristics, and carry out issuance and trading activities.


  Engaging in the tokenization of real-world assets domestically, as well as providing related intermediary, information technology services, etc., which are suspected of illegal issuance of token vouchers, unauthorized public offering of securities, illegal operation of securities and futures business, illegal fundraising, and other illegal financial activities, shall be prohibited; except for relevant business activities carried out with the approval of the competent authorities in accordance with the law and regulations and relying on specific financial infrastructures. Overseas entities and individuals are not allowed to illegally provide services related to the tokenization of real-world assets to domestic entities in any form.


  II. Sound Work Mechanism


  (III) Inter-agency Coordination. The People's Bank of China, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of virtual currency-related illegal financial activities.


  The China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with the National Development and Reform Commission, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other departments, will improve the work mechanism, strengthen coordination with the Cyberspace Administration of China, the Supreme People's Court, and the Supreme People's Procuratorate, coordinate efforts, and overall guide regions to carry out risk prevention and disposal of illegal financial activities related to the tokenization of real-world assets.


  (IV) Strengthening Local Implementation. The people's governments at the provincial level are overall responsible for the prevention and disposal of risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets in their respective administrative regions. The specific leading department is the local financial regulatory department, with participation from branches and dispatched institutions of the State Council's financial regulatory department, telecommunications regulators, public security, market supervision, and other departments, in coordination with cyberspace departments, courts, and procuratorates, to improve the normalization of the work mechanism, effectively connect with the relevant work mechanisms of central departments, form a cooperative and coordinated working pattern between central and local governments, effectively prevent and properly handle risks related to virtual currencies and the tokenization of real-world assets, and maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  III. Strengthened Risk Monitoring, Prevention, and Disposal


  (5) Enhanced Risk Monitoring. The People's Bank of China, China Securities Regulatory Commission, National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Public Security, State Administration of Foreign Exchange, Cyberspace Administration of China, and other departments continue to improve monitoring techniques and system support, enhance cross-departmental data analysis and sharing, establish sound information sharing and cross-validation mechanisms, promptly grasp the risk situation of activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization. Local governments at all levels give full play to the role of local monitoring and early warning mechanisms. Local financial regulatory authorities, together with branches and agencies of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, as well as departments of cyberspace and public security, ensure effective connection between online monitoring, offline investigation, and fund tracking, efficiently and accurately identify activities related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly share risk information, improve early warning information dissemination, verification, and rapid response mechanisms.


  (6) Strengthened Oversight of Financial Institutions, Intermediaries, and Technology Service Providers. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing account opening, fund transfer, and clearing services for virtual currency-related business activities, issuing and selling financial products related to virtual currency, including virtual currency and related financial products in the scope of collateral, conducting insurance business related to virtual currency, or including virtual currency in the scope of insurance liability. Financial institutions (including non-bank payment institutions) are prohibited from providing custody, clearing, and settlement services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related business and related financial products. Relevant intermediary institutions and information technology service providers are prohibited from providing intermediary, technical, or other services for unauthorized real-world asset tokenization-related businesses and related financial products.


  (7) Enhanced Management of Internet Information Content and Access. Internet enterprises are prohibited from providing online business venues, commercial displays, marketing, advertising, or paid traffic diversion services for virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities. Upon discovering clues of illegal activities, they should promptly report to relevant departments and provide technical support and assistance for related investigations and inquiries. Based on the clues transferred by the financial regulatory authorities, the cyberspace administration, telecommunications authorities, and public security departments should promptly close and deal with websites, mobile applications (including mini-programs), and public accounts engaged in virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization-related business activities in accordance with the law.


  (8) Strengthened Entity Registration and Advertisement Management. Market supervision departments strengthen entity registration and management, and enterprise and individual business registrations must not contain terms such as "virtual currency," "virtual asset," "cryptocurrency," "crypto asset," "stablecoin," "real-world asset tokenization," or "RWA" in their names or business scopes. Market supervision departments, together with financial regulatory authorities, legally enhance the supervision of advertisements related to virtual currency and real-world asset tokenization, promptly investigating and handling relevant illegal advertisements.


  (IX) Continued Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities. The National Development and Reform Commission, together with relevant departments, strictly controls virtual currency mining activities, continuously promotes the rectification of virtual currency mining activities. The people's governments of various provinces take overall responsibility for the rectification of "mining" within their respective administrative regions. In accordance with the requirements of the National Development and Reform Commission and other departments in the "Notice on the Rectification of Virtual Currency Mining Activities" (NDRC Energy-saving Building [2021] No. 1283) and the provisions of the "Guidance Catalog for Industrial Structure Adjustment (2024 Edition)," a comprehensive review, investigation, and closure of existing virtual currency mining projects are conducted, new mining projects are strictly prohibited, and mining machine production enterprises are strictly prohibited from providing mining machine sales and other services within the country.


  (X) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal Financial Activities. Upon discovering clues to illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets, local financial regulatory authorities, branches of the State Council's financial regulatory authorities, and other relevant departments promptly investigate, determine, and properly handle the issues in accordance with the law, and seriously hold the relevant entities and individuals legally responsible. Those suspected of crimes are transferred to the judicial authorities for processing according to the law.


 (XI) Severe Crackdown on Related Illegal and Criminal Activities. The Ministry of Public Security, the People's Bank of China, the State Administration for Market Regulation, the China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, as well as judicial and procuratorial organs, in accordance with their respective responsibilities, rigorously crack down on illegal and criminal activities related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, such as fraud, money laundering, illegal business operations, pyramid schemes, illegal fundraising, and other illegal and criminal activities carried out under the guise of virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, etc.


  (XII) Strengthen Industry Self-discipline. Relevant industry associations should enhance membership management and policy advocacy, based on their own responsibilities, advocate and urge member units to resist illegal financial activities related to virtual currency and the tokenization of real-world assets. Member units that violate regulatory policies and industry self-discipline rules are to be disciplined in accordance with relevant self-regulatory management regulations. By leveraging various industry infrastructure, conduct risk monitoring related to virtual currency, the tokenization of real-world assets, and promptly transfer issue clues to relevant departments.


  IV. Strict Supervision of Domestic Entities Engaging in Overseas Business Activities


(XIII) Without the approval of relevant departments in accordance with the law and regulations, domestic entities and foreign entities controlled by them may not issue virtual currency overseas.


  (XIV) Domestic entities engaging directly or indirectly in overseas external debt-based tokenization of real-world assets, or conducting asset securitization activities abroad based on domestic ownership rights, income rights, etc. (hereinafter referred to as domestic equity), should be strictly regulated in accordance with the principles of "same business, same risk, same rules." The National Development and Reform Commission, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, the State Administration of Foreign Exchange, and other relevant departments regulate it according to their respective responsibilities. For other forms of overseas real-world asset tokenization activities based on domestic equity by domestic entities, the China Securities Regulatory Commission, together with relevant departments, supervise according to their division of responsibilities. Without the consent and filing of relevant departments, no unit or individual may engage in the above-mentioned business.


  (15) Overseas subsidiaries and branches of domestic financial institutions providing Real World Asset Tokenization-related services overseas shall do so legally and prudently. They shall have professional personnel and systems in place to effectively mitigate business risks, strictly implement customer onboarding, suitability management, anti-money laundering requirements, and incorporate them into the domestic financial institutions' compliance and risk management system. Intermediaries and information technology service providers offering Real World Asset Tokenization services abroad based on domestic equity or conducting Real World Asset Tokenization business in the form of overseas debt for domestic entities directly or indirectly venturing abroad must strictly comply with relevant laws and regulations. They should establish and improve relevant compliance and internal control systems in accordance with relevant normative requirements, strengthen business and risk control, and report the business developments to the relevant regulatory authorities for approval or filing.


  V. Strengthen Organizational Implementation


  (16) Strengthen organizational leadership and overall coordination. All departments and regions should attach great importance to the prevention of risks related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization, strengthen organizational leadership, clarify work responsibilities, form a long-term effective working mechanism with centralized coordination, local implementation, and shared responsibilities, maintain high pressure, dynamically monitor risks, effectively prevent and mitigate risks in an orderly and efficient manner, legally protect the property security of the people, and make every effort to maintain economic and financial order and social stability.


  (17) Widely carry out publicity and education. All departments, regions, and industry associations should make full use of various media and other communication channels to disseminate information through legal and policy interpretation, analysis of typical cases, and education on investment risks, etc. They should promote the illegality and harm of virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses and their manifestations, fully alert to potential risks and hidden dangers, and enhance public awareness and identification capabilities for risk prevention.


  VI. Legal Responsibility


  (18) Engaging in illegal financial activities related to virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization in violation of this notice, as well as providing services for virtual currencies and Real World Asset Tokenization-related businesses, shall be punished in accordance with relevant regulations. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law. For domestic entities and individuals who knowingly or should have known that overseas entities illegally provided virtual currency or Real World Asset Tokenization-related services to domestic entities and still assisted them, relevant responsibilities shall be pursued according to the law. If it constitutes a crime, criminal liability shall be pursued according to the law.


  (19) If any unit or individual invests in virtual currencies, Real World Asset Tokens, and related financial products against public order and good customs, the relevant civil legal actions shall be invalid, and any resulting losses shall be borne by them. If there are suspicions of disrupting financial order and jeopardizing financial security, the relevant departments shall deal with them according to the law.


  This notice shall enter into force upon the date of its issuance. The People's Bank of China and ten other departments' "Notice on Further Preventing and Dealing with the Risks of Virtual Currency Trading Speculation" (Yinfa [2021] No. 237) is hereby repealed.


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